Clive on Learning

AUGUST 8, 2011

There's nothing safe and predictable here, so expect to be unsettled. I agree with what he says about design and I respect the way his views have evolved in time away from the traditional ADDIE model into something much more agile. So I was delighted to accept his offer to add a chapter to this work.

Instructional Design 76

Instructional Design ADDIE Agile Predictions 76

Clive on Learning

FEBRUARY 29, 2012

But it is the most structured and the most deliberate of all these and probably has the most predictable consequences. Of course, training is just one of many inputs that can be applied to vocational learning, alongside experiential learning, self-directed learning and all forms of connected and collaborative learning.

Specialist 82

Specialist Predictions Conference Reference 82

Clive on Learning

SEPTEMBER 14, 2009

It attempts to predict the future for l&d ten years or so hence. I may return to explore some of the more detailed predictions in due course when I've had a chance to give the report the attention it deserves. The report was compiled by Paul Fairhurst of the Institute for Employment Studies and first released in September 2008.

Journal 40

Journal Develop Predictions Emergent 40

Clive on Learning

JANUARY 31, 2013

By definition, these cannot be predicted in advance and codified with rules. But success and failure in the workplace is as likely to depend, not on the ability to apply rules, but the potential to make decisions in highly-variable and often unexpected situations.

Cognitive 91

Cognitive Simulations Coaching Teach 91

Clive on Learning

JULY 27, 2010

Some of the arguments are predictable: Most of what we learn is learned informally. A prestigious speaker list includes informal learning guru Jay Cross (speaking against), author and academic Dr Alison Rossett (speaking for) and, just announced, Professor William Dutton of the Oxford Internet Institute.

Informal Learning 73

Informal Learning Informal Predictions Internet 73

Clive on Learning

MARCH 3, 2009

The problem with predictions is that they're almost impossible to make with any certainty. The good thing about ten year predictions is that absolutely no-one will remember that you made them. Another month of my life gone, another Big Question from the Learning Circuits Blog. And the questions don't get any easier do they?

Big Question 67

Big Question Social Media Predictions Virtual World 67

Clive on Learning

MAY 6, 2011

A simple and rather predictable picture then. Beyond e-learning, the trend is to reduce external spend and bring as much as possible in-house. Only 9% of respondents report their budgets growing in the past 12 months. In fact, 54% have seen a decrease. Money’s tight, so use more efficient approaches and do more in-house.

Survey 65

Survey Blended Learning Compliance Training Picture 65

Clive on Learning

DECEMBER 1, 2014

Exposition is not a predictably successful strategy, even though it still dominates in many educational and training environments (including many of the latest MOOCs). When it comes to the inevitable exam, you will cram as much information as you can into some sort of temporary memory space to help you overcome this hurdle.

Blended Learning 40

Blended Learning Instructional Instruction Predictions 40

Clive on Learning

JANUARY 5, 2012

Instead, my prediction for the future is that you will need what I call ‘serial mastery’ to add real value. I will return to this book in future posts, but for now here are two short extracts: Our assumptions that general skills will be valuable has to be questioned.

Specialist 79

Specialist Predictions Network Budget 79

Clive on Learning

DECEMBER 1, 2010

This is all predictable, but rather depressing. It is in many cases much cheaper to blend simple content elements with collaborative tools and virtual classrooms than it is to put together highly-structured self-study materials.

Virtual Classroom 71

Virtual Classroom Emergent Wiki Blended Learning 71

Clive on Learning

APRIL 2, 2009

Without wishing to dampen down these optimistic forecasts, it is worth remembering how fallible expert predictions can be. He cites Philip Tetlock, the expert on experts: "His 2005 book, Expert Political Judgment, is based on two decades of tracking some 82,000 predictions by 284 experts. The result?

Budget 40

Budget Simulations Masie Survey 40

Clive on Learning

NOVEMBER 11, 2015

After all, would you not be just a little un-nerved if your doctor prescribed you a herbal remedy, or taken aback to discover that an astronomer ordered his life around the predictions of astrology? Of course I am exaggerating.

Diversity Training 40

Diversity Training Press Predictions Theory 40

Clive on Learning

JUNE 5, 2015

And learning styles really do need debunking, not because we, as learners, don't have preferences, but because there is no model out there which has been proven to be genuinely helpful in predicting learner performance based on their preferences.

Learning Styles 40

Learning Styles Learner Blended Learning Theory 40

Clive on Learning

MAY 26, 2011

And, if the job we do is algorithmic (routine and predictable), there may be an argument for incentives of some sort. Of course we are not going to be terribly motivated if we're patently underpaid for what we do: The starting point, of course, is to ensure that the baseline rewards—wages, salaries, benefits, and so on—are adequate and fair.

Summary 68

Summary Upgrade Compliance Predictions 68

Clive on Learning

JUNE 21, 2013

However, it is unrealistic for all learning to be managed on a top-down basis, particularly in those organisations where change is constant and knowledge requirements hard to predict.

Strategy 77

Strategy Wiki Communities of Practice Reputation 77

Clive on Learning

DECEMBER 7, 2006

What are your predictions for 2007? In spite of the conservatism of the learning and development core, things are moving so fast on the fringes, predictions almost seem useless. What about predictions for January?

Big Question 40

Big Question Predictions Write Blog Instructional Design 40

Clive on Learning

JANUARY 20, 2010

There is still a long way to go and, despite the unbelievable optimism expressed in most expert predictions, we’ll see very modest progress in the short term, perhaps even the medium term.

Virtual Classroom 70

Virtual Classroom Change ASTD eLearning Guild 70

Clive on Learning

JUNE 5, 2015

And learning styles really do need debunking, not because we, as learners, don't have preferences, but because there is no model out there which has been proven to be genuinely helpful in predicting learner performance based on their preferences.

Learning Styles 32

Learning Styles Learner Blended Learning Theory 32

Clive on Learning

MARCH 14, 2010

As CA-Oxonian so nicely summarises in a comment to the article: "After all the tedious and predictable (but highly profitable) hype comes the boring reality: humans are humans. In other words, these desires may well be universal. They use new technologies to accomplish old tasks." " Tags: Gen Y.

Social Networks 73

Social Networks Social Network Social Media Predictions 73

Clive on Learning

JANUARY 22, 2008

My posting One prediction already on target created a bit of a reaction.

Authoring 40

Authoring RapideL Rapid Intake Brandon Hall 40

Clive on Learning

MAY 20, 2010

My first instinct was to pass on this one, because it seems only a few months since we made our predictions for 2010. The May Big Question in the Learning Circuits Blog is What will workplace learning technology look like in 2015 ? So, in for a penny … First the killjoy stuff.

Big Question 70

Big Question Learning Technologies Technology Open Source 70

Clive on Learning

DECEMBER 22, 2010

The big question: predictions for 2010 The World in Figures 2010 1000 tweets but still not sure why February Homo Competens – learning, doing, sharing (review) How professionals learn The one-sided battle Confessions of a public speaker (review) The secrets of success (review) Just why do Aussies, Brits and Italians network so much online?

Case Study 65

Case Study Big Question iPad Enterprise 2.0 65

Clive on Learning

OCTOBER 21, 2011

Learning is not an exact science and learners are not perfectly predictable. Yes, a great deal of care can be put into designing a new classroom event, but no-one will be surprised when, the first time the course is run, what actually happens bears only the faintest resemblance to the plan.

Content Developer 67

Content Developer Custom Job Develop 67

Clive on Learning

DECEMBER 19, 2008

" I could have predicted the Web 2.0 "A significant minority of managers (28%) agree that Web 2.0 technologies have the potential to transform management and leadership development activities and that in the next ten years virtual worlds and gaming technology will enable all development to be experiential. " Yes, it does.

Blended Learning 40

Blended Learning Blended Management Develop 40

Clive on Learning

FEBRUARY 4, 2008

Why, because the quality would not be predictable and this could bring e-learning in general into disrepute? I disagreed. After all, variabilities in quality do not bother YouTube, Flickr, SlideShare and any number of other web 2.0

Market 40

Market Rapid eLearning Slideshare Quality 40

Clive on Learning

NOVEMBER 25, 2008

The reality is that these people are going to represent a small minority, probably in the region of 1% of the population, as predicted by the '90-9-1 rule'. People who blog regularly are making a big commitment and are likely to have either a professional justification for this effort, or a strong desire (and ability) to communicate.

Blogging 40

Blogging Social Networks Social Network Music 40

Clive on Learning

FEBRUARY 14, 2008

Those who work in the classroom can teach instructional designers a thing or two; they don't spend endless hours in analysis paralysis trying to predict exactly what will happen at every point in their face-to-face workshops - they put together a quick and dirty design, give it a go and see what happens.

Instructional Design 59

Instructional Design ADDIE Analysis Predictions 59

Clive on Learning

MARCH 19, 2009

This was a self-selecting survey to which 1069 responded, ostensibly from 'around the globe', although I would predict a strong North American skew. Respondents were asked which social media technologies they used in their organisations.

Social Learning 40

Social Learning Survey Social Networks Social 40

Clive on Learning

JANUARY 24, 2008

Financial stability implies that the vendor is going to be around long enough so you can continue to maintain your data long into the future (not that it always works out that way, with Adobe discontinuing development on Authorware!).

Authoring Tools 40

Authoring Tools Adobe Authorware Tools 40

Clive on Learning

MARCH 17, 2009

" "The ability to peer inside somebody's mental life and make predictions takes a tremendous amount of intelligence and, not surprisingly, brain activity." It may have arisen from our need to understand one another's intentions and motivations, allowing us to co-ordinate within a group."

Brain 40

Brain Press Predictions Alternatives 40

Clive on Learning

JUNE 4, 2008

Back in December I posted about what I predicted would become e-learning's two tiers. To remind you: High end The top tier would be e-learning that delivers something special, something that can't be achieved easily other ways.

Content 51

Content Wiki Movie Simulations 51

Clive on Learning

MAY 26, 2009

" Hardly surprising, however: "These improvements are greater than what you'd predict by simply adding up the unisensory data." " "When touch is combined with visual information, recognition learning leaps forward by almost 30% compared with touch alone."

Brain 40

Brain Toys Summary Predictions 40

Clive on Learning

NOVEMBER 26, 2007

But, perhaps more slowly than the enthusiasts might have predicted, things have moved on: we have better, more powerful devices, with multimedia capabilities and Internet connectivity. If m-learning is ever going to happen, now is the time.

Media 40

Media iPod FLV Movie 40

Clive on Learning

MARCH 23, 2007

Appeal to higher interests/motivations - "there's not much evidence that public opinion can be predicted by narrow self-interest." Then try it yourself." Emotionality : "For people to take action, they have to care." Use simulations where learners take the role of their opposites, e.g. customers rather than salespeople.

Simulations 40

Simulations Statistics Authoring Pattern 40

Clive on Learning

JULY 31, 2007

A posting by George Siemens alerted me to the startling prediction that the e-Learning Market to hit $56 billion by 2010. Anyway, this prediction does give me some confidence.

Predictions 40

Predictions Global Report Market 40

Clive on Learning

AUGUST 12, 2009

I would not have a predicted such a positive review of the progress being made by early adopters, but if Jakob is convinced then we can be comfortable that there's good evidence to back this up. It has been fascinating to read the thoughts of arch rationalist Jakob Nielsen on the relatively romanticised world of enterprise 2.0.

Social Networks 58

Social Networks Social Network Network Social 58