Learning Power Laws
Tony Karrer
NOVEMBER 2, 2009
Several of them I regularly talk about: Amara’s Law ( backstory ) states that " we tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run. " – I cite this in Work Skills Keeping Up? and Adoption of Web 2.0 and eLearning 2.0 But over time it often has pretty incredible effects that sneak up on us. This describes a lot of what we see around web 2.0
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