article thumbnail

Learning Power Laws

Tony Karrer

Moving from change as the exception to change as the norm. Several of them I regularly talk about: Amara’s Law ( backstory ) states that " we tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run. " – I cite this in Work Skills Keeping Up?

Long Tail 100
article thumbnail

2008 2009

Tony Karrer

It's always interesting to look back at the past year - 2008, think about what has changed for me during the year, and think about what that means for the next year - 2009. My guess is that in 2009 we are going to change the shape of the discussion to make it more frequent and narrow going forward. for Learning Professionals.