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2019 eLearning Predictions – Hype Curve

Web Courseworks

The discussion of the concept or technology increases a bit – never reaching the previous level of buzz, because the only people with reason to discuss it are the actual users – and reaches a moderate, stable level: Gartner dubs this phase the Plateau of Productivity. How we Built the eLearning Hype Curve.

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2018 eLearning Predictions: Updated Hype Curve

Web Courseworks

To wit, we in online learning are often in the business of managing transactions. Less abstractly, the CE business of non-profit associations is threatened by for-profit CE providers that undercut the associations’ prices. Nor is the subscription likely to be very popular if you don’t actually have a large library of online CE.

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eLearning Hype Curve: Our Predictions for 2019

Web Courseworks

The discussion of the concept or technology increases a bit – never reaching the previous level of buzz, because the only people with reason to discuss it are the actual users – and reaches a moderate, stable level: Gartner dubs this phase the Plateau of Productivity. Building the eLearning Hype Curve Dataset.

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2016 eLearning Hype Curve Predictions

Web Courseworks

We think this one has a relatively clear path to the Plateau of Productivity. Peak of Inflated Expectations: xAPI and Badges. At the big eLearning conferences this year, roughly 50% of sessions and exhibitor booths were focused on either xAPI or Badges. In xAPI’s favor, the U.S. That’s fighting a war on two fronts.

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2016 eLearning Hype Curve Predictions

Web Courseworks

We think this one has a relatively clear path to the Plateau of Productivity. Peak of Inflated Expectations: xAPI and Badges. At the big eLearning conferences this year, roughly 50% of sessions and exhibitor booths were focused on either xAPI or Badges. In xAPI’s favor, the U.S. That’s fighting a war on two fronts.

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2017 eLearning Predictions: Updated Hype Curve

Web Courseworks

A newer standard than even xAPI, Caliper is somewhat less ambitious than xAPI in the number of use cases considered and APIs specified. As Martin is one of the xAPI originators, this could foreshadow future synergies between the two standards and help xAPI get out of the Trough (see below).

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2017 eLearning Predictions: Updated Hype Curve

Web Courseworks

A newer standard than even xAPI, Caliper is somewhat less ambitious than xAPI in the number of use cases considered and APIs specified. As Martin is one of the xAPI originators, this could foreshadow future synergies between the two standards and help xAPI get out of the Trough (see below).