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2019 eLearning Predictions – Hype Curve

Web Courseworks

The Peak of Inflated Expectations is so named because, at this point, the concept or technology is incorrectly seen as a solution to all problems in the field. Inevitably, the new thing turns out not to be a cure-all for all problems, leading to disappointment for those who had hoped it might solve their specific problems.

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eLearning Hype Curve: Our Predictions for 2019

Web Courseworks

The Peak of Inflated Expectations is so named because, at this point, the concept or technology is incorrectly seen as a solution to all problems in the field. Inevitably, the new thing turns out not to be a cure-all for all problems, leading to disappointment for those who had hoped it might solve their specific problems.

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2018 eLearning Predictions: Updated Hype Curve

Web Courseworks

In eLearning, we are at the very start of the hype curve with distributed ledgers: we can imagine the technology solving one of our recurring problems. There are big problems with tracking and verifying a learners’ CE balance. xAPI: It is eerie how xAPI has exactly followed the hype curve. Slope of Enlightenment.

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2016 eLearning Hype Curve Predictions

Web Courseworks

We think this one has a relatively clear path to the Plateau of Productivity. Peak of Inflated Expectations: xAPI and Badges. At the big eLearning conferences this year, roughly 50% of sessions and exhibitor booths were focused on either xAPI or Badges. In xAPI’s favor, the U.S. That’s fighting a war on two fronts.

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2016 eLearning Hype Curve Predictions

Web Courseworks

We think this one has a relatively clear path to the Plateau of Productivity. Peak of Inflated Expectations: xAPI and Badges. At the big eLearning conferences this year, roughly 50% of sessions and exhibitor booths were focused on either xAPI or Badges. In xAPI’s favor, the U.S. That’s fighting a war on two fronts.

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2017 eLearning Predictions: Updated Hype Curve

Web Courseworks

A newer standard than even xAPI, Caliper is somewhat less ambitious than xAPI in the number of use cases considered and APIs specified. As Martin is one of the xAPI originators, this could foreshadow future synergies between the two standards and help xAPI get out of the Trough (see below).

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2017 eLearning Predictions: Updated Hype Curve

Web Courseworks

A newer standard than even xAPI, Caliper is somewhat less ambitious than xAPI in the number of use cases considered and APIs specified. As Martin is one of the xAPI originators, this could foreshadow future synergies between the two standards and help xAPI get out of the Trough (see below).