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Ten Predictions for eLearning 2008

Tony Karrer

This will increase the discussion of the relevance of ISD / ADDIE (see also ADDIE Not Relevant?). Prediction #10 => Knowledge Worker Skills - Just Beginning in 2008, Big in 2009 The discussion of knowledge work skills is going to be BIG. Short, fast and to the point will be the standard.

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Agile instructional design

Jay Cross's Informal Learning

The training film was born, soon to be followed with the ADDIE model. ADDIE (analyze, design, develop, implement & evaluate) made it possible to manage the process of creating useful training programs systematically. Instructional purists still revere the logic of ADDIE. ADDIE invariably points to training as the solution.

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2008 2009

Tony Karrer

Strategy (15) PWLE Not PLE - Knowledge Work Not Separate from Learning (15) Corporate Social Bookmarking Tools (14) Corporate Learning Long Tail and Attention Crisis (13) Test SCORM Courses with an LMS (13) 90-9-1 Rule aka 1% Rule in Collaborative Environments (13) Social Conference Tools - Expect Poor Results (13) Instruction eLearning 2.0

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Slow Learning – #change11

Clark Quinn

The ADDIE process assumes a course, and still doesn’t have any real support for the emotional engagement aspect. The notion is a sort-of personal GPS for your knowledge work. It talks about modeling, scaffolding and release, naturally incorporating social and meaningful activity into the learning process.

Cognitive 186